Just like the pitching rankings, here is the batter rankings. This is just based on a team’s average hitting ability, with no fielding ratings taken into account because of the effect actual position played has on whether a player is a good fielder or not. It’s one thing to have 80/80/80/80 at SS, but entirely different to have that player at 3b.
Minnesota and Washington should fall back to the pack once they fill out their rosters.
I forgot which formula I based the overall number off of, whether it was OBP, SLG, or OPS, but knowing my mindset when I created it last year, it’s probably OPS.
So now we know the relative strengths of each team’s starting rotation, bullpen, and hitters, which leads me into me next blog post…
Like last year, I’ve got the opening day ratings for both starting rotations and bullpens as way to kind of develop the preseason power rankings, if you will.
The first picture is the starting rotation rankings for season 23. It goes: Team Acronym; Total WAR projection; # of Pitchers; Average WAR Rating for Staff; Average Overall Rating for Staff.
The average overall rating is essentially out of 100. I have a fairly reliable rating weight system. I take each rating, multiply it by the weight, and then divide by the maximum score to get a number out of 100. The WAR rating is similar, but made up of aggregate projections for innings pitched, strikeouts, homeruns and walks, and as such isn’t as reliable in my opinion than the straight up overall.
I have five “tiers” of pitchers based on the overall number:
- 100-78 I would consider an “elite” starter, of which there are 11 in the league right now.
- 77-75 are solid, borderline elites, of which there are 14. These guys would be #2’s on playoff teams, or aces on non-competing teams.
- 74-71 are your 2-3 starters. I see 38 total.
- 71-68 are your 3-4 guys. There are 34.
- 67 and under are back of the rotation pitchers/AAA guys. Playoff teams won’t have these guys typically. 63 total.
Yes, by my rating scheme there aren’t enough pitchers 65 and higher for every team to fill out a five man rotation. How I came up with these is I dumped something like 2000 starting pitchers from a number of different worlds into a spreadsheet, applied the formula to them and took the four quartiles to what came out (or something like that, it’s been like two years since I did this, so the memory is a little fuzzy. I believe the top two tiers were split up at one point, which is why there are five total tiers).
For what it’s worth, there is one ace at AA, one tier two pitcher at AAA, three tier three pitchers at AAA, and 19 tier three/four pitchers at AAA. As far as free agents go, they are pretty well picked over at this point, but anyone looking to say, I don’t know, not tank, there are three tier four guys out there.
The relief rankings follow pretty much the same formula as the starters.
The WAR numbers are going to be a off just because it’s based on the number of innings pitched, and with relievers it’s a crapshoot for how other managers handle their bullpen settings.
So draw your own conclusions from this data. I already know what I’m thinking.
Still no Torrealba sighting, but there is no more “bidding” to be done, as multiple teams have max contracts out to him, so it’s all a crapshoot at this point.
Surprisingly New York has yet to make a free agent signing this year as he’s about $8 or $9 million from his cap right now.
After getting called out on the world chat,
Chase Fassero signs the next cycle for Colorado.
Julio Sosa will call Baltimore home for the next three years.
I picked up
Albert Sojo on a two year deal to cover my long relief role, and provide some extra starting pitcher depth if a guy in my rotation goes down. I probably could’ve waited a couple more cycles and got him cheaper, though I did have him as the 8th best SP this FA cycle.
Brant Wulf moves to Little Rock after a very productive season in Richmond.
Outside of Torrealba there aren’t too many “impact” bats left out there. Don’t get me wrong, there are some very productive guys left, but nothing game changing.
Also I might start a “Tanking Watch” section to the blog as Kansas City hasn’t signed a player other than to a minor league deal at this point.
I haven’t been as active on updating the blog this season, and for that I apologize.
Here’s a quick run down of the off season acquisitions so far.
Gabby Ducey comes over the the National League to join Little Rock on a 5yr/$73.9 million deal. I was in the bidding on him, but I was only willing to do 5yrs at $12.5 million per with a $8-9 million bonus this year. They also lock up perennial gold glove catcher
D'Angelo Alberro for five years.
Alex Zhou and
Maverick Buss are staying in Austin for the next couple of years. I’ve sang the praises of Zhou before, and I will continue to until he’s a HOF. The guy is far and away the league leader for career WAR.
Armando Melendez stays in the American League, but switches to the southern division as he joins San Juan. He’s probably no longer suited for duty behind the plate, but his bat is still potent.
Another Hartford loss as
Alexi Balentien moves over to Scottsdale on a very reasonable 3yr/$15 million deal.
Baltimore, formerly Dover, holds onto
Somehow Hartford gets
Angel Wilfredo on a one year deal.
Jacksonville cuts lose
Fritz Purcell allowing Syracuse to pick him up.
Jerry Whitman to replace
Benji Diaz at 1B. I also brought in
Kazuo Lee to play CF, which his range should make him a good candidate for gold glove, though his arm probably isn’t up to snuff. Oh well, he’ll play a better CF than
Jimmie Velazquez would’ve. Though all I want him to do is walk and get on base.
After an off year,
Sean Shave moves to Jacksonville. Like Melendez, he’s probably not going to be even an average catcher anymore, but he’ll do in a pinch.
Greg Blake, probably to replace Shave. His bat isn’t as good as Shave’s, but he definitely a better fielder.
Our fearless commish signed
Pablo Mateo for four years.
Switching over to starting pitchers real quick before I sign off for the night:
I’m happy that
Willie Rooney is out of my division, as he’s playing in Salem now.
After being abused in Los Angeles last season,
Melky Serra moves over to Jackson. They also pick up
Matty Owen, and
Miguel Ayala. If I had to guess who will have the most improved pitching staff without really looking too hard, my guess would have to be on Jackson.
Another pitcher out of my division,
Pedro Mercedes is now playing in Sacramento, who is in the AL West.
Hartford is able to stem the loss of Lennon with
Santos Henriquez on a one year deal.
Al Lee signs for New Orleans.
And that’s where I’ll leave it at. I’ll try to post something tomorrow.
I’ve got the final numbers for season 22.
We’ll just get the easy one out of the way as we all know
Malcolm McCartin is going to win the NL Cy Young Award. This year he’s been worth four wins more than the next closest pitcher in the league, which is surprising because he’s in frickin Colorado of all places.
In the AL,
Mike Lawrie ended up pulling away in the last quarter to take the crown in terms of WAR. We’ll see how the votes fall.
I’ll have the LC’s Golden Gloves here in a day or so.
The full spreadsheet for both pitchers and batters can be found here.